Wednesday, September 24, 2008

散戶股票行賺外快

近日股市交投氣氛略好轉,成交額曾破千億元,實屬今年罕見場面,股票行實在久旱逢甘露,但散戶落注的,恐怕有限,補倉盤只會益了大型股票行。

散戶朋友話,一向光顧的股票行,生意相信比去年少了一截,大市只識向下,大家都忍忍手為佳,買牛熊證亦輸到怕。不過,未知是否有些散戶輸得太慘烈,竟然懂得在股票行賺外快,早前更拿些精緻的飾物,在股票行向其他在場股民兜售,希望恃熟賣熟,當大市欠缺驚喜,其他散戶自然將注意力分散,看看那些飾物亦屬平常不過,而股票行職員見到這種場面,亦不好意思干涉。散戶朋友更慨歎話,那些飾物叫價不便宜,從經驗所得,相信利錢頗厚,但無理由阻人發達,自己不出聲算了。

其實,交投歸邊情況確實日趨嚴重,且看港交所(388)披露,由大行組成的A組經紀,排名首14位的大行,合共市場佔有率已佔8月總成交額的55.06%,比去年12月底的49.37%,足足升了5.69個百分點。

由中型行組成的B組經紀,在這8個月間的佔有率少了2.91個百分點至36.7%,表現尚算穩定,但以小型經紀行為主的C組經紀就慘了,只剩下8.24%,連一成都無,特別是市場佔有率已經跌四個月,相信散戶離場或慘遭被綁者眾,怎會還有能力幫襯呢!

股票行管理層朋友同禤中怡話,C組經紀行人手少少,可能得10個、8個員工,其實受大市轉靜影響不大,反而是由51間經紀行組成的B組經紀行,就要辛苦經營,畢竟公司有一定規模,每月固定開支相對較大,所以要生存下來就不易。

幸好,朋友話,除非有心犯法,今時今日經紀行再爆煲的機會已相對下降,一來大市回落不少,孖展客已經流失得七七八八,而且證監會「睇得好緊」,並以他上周沽貨為例,雖然只是出了兩億元貨,證監會已立刻問長問短。

遇著些久未露面的客戶突然出現,話想買貨,朋友話當然要求付現金,但客戶多用買貨兩日後才交收(T+2)為理由,不願付足,那時就要看金額有多大,若批貨值1球(100萬元)的話,肯定要有按金才辦理,否則另請高明,倘若是濕濕碎的10萬、8萬元貨,還可勉強讓客戶過關,起碼AE(Account Executive,即經紀)也承擔得起嘛!

不要以為散戶心碎情況,只有香港才會出現,南韓股市的散戶同樣顯著減少交投,據當地交易所統計顯示,上周散戶投資者所佔成交比重只有46%,比07年平均53%水平,回落達7個百分點,令經紀行也要想辦法開源節流,如關閉供散戶買賣的投資中心,轉而開設針對富豪的私人銀行和資產管理服務中心,希望轉型捱過寒冬。

(9月24日刊於《am730》)

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