Wednesday, October 15, 2008

裁員浪潮翻滾而來

裁員潮已開始蔓延至非金融機構。百事(Pepsi.Co)第三季盈利跌9.2%,並下調第四季盈利預測後,還宣布全球裁員3,300人。

美國汽車市場亦不好過。通用汽車(GM)要關閉兩間車廠,要裁員2,700人;德國汽車廠Daimler AG 宣布,由於銷售量下跌,將於明年3月開始停產Sterling品牌卡車,並裁減3,500名美國及加拿大的員工。

即使是擁有千萬金元巨星坐陣的美國職業籃球聯賽(NBA)也不能倖免,準備裁減員工數目約9%。

當然,最重傷的依然是金融業。據諮詢機構Challenger,Gray & Christmas,Inc.統計顯示,今年首9個月,美國金融業職位已消失11.1萬多個,與07年消失15.3萬個金融業職位比較,數字已相等於07年的72.6%。需注意的是,07年數字為97年以來新高,今年要打破這個紀錄的話,每月平均要裁近1.4萬個相關職位。由於多間金融機構被併購,如美銀吃了美林、富國吞了美聯銀行,以美國管理人員一貫手法,必然進行大清洗,藉此宣傳其效益獲提升的策略,故此未來陸續有人執包袱,已經是不爭的事實,只是未知規模究竟有多大。

另一個悲壯的數據是,直至9月,來自紐約與次按和按揭業務相關的職位裁減數目,已經達到近6.1萬個,比07年全年數目還要多37%,可見不少高薪厚祿的白領專業人士已黯然離開職場。

另一邊的英國當然亦受波及。當地糖果生產商吉百利宣布再裁減580個職位。當地經濟商業研究中心一份報告指出,受信貸危機影響,英國金融界在今明兩年,預測將裁減6.2萬個工作職位,今年金融業職位將比去年減少2.8萬個,明年減少3.4萬個職位,報告更預測,投資銀行部門今明兩年可能裁員超過1萬人。

這些數字和預測,恐怕只是冰山一角,但可以預見經濟活動定必大受打擊。此外,見到銀行紛紛要求助,市民見到危機重重,也會小心控制開支,令消費能力難免被削弱。

至於企業本身加入瘦身行列,提早迎接寒風來臨,這實屬正常不過,因為不裁員,分分鐘影響整個企業的穩定性,其他受薪員工也會遭殃。

不過,見到佑威(627)急速膨脹而陷入難以自拔的地步,最終步上被債權人申請清盤的命運,令數百名員工失去飯碗,管理層就實在不能推卸責任。

未知臨時清盤人出手快,抑或其他原因,禤中怡發現在旺角波鞋街稱王的允記集團,已接收佑威於灣仔門市舖位,更已張貼招聘廣告,相信這間運動連鎖專門店趁勢接收一些位置較佳的地點,藉以擴充業務,希望佑威的員工能夠獲得新工作機會吧。

(10月15日刊於《am730》)

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