Monday, March 05, 2007

紅籌回歸內地露口風

全球股市似陷入泥沼之中,要爬起來恐怕有一段時間,但不代表無空間投資。

內地股市大上大落,但著名經濟學家、全國政協常委林毅夫亦話長遠看股市指數肯定會繼續走高,上海綜合指數邁向3,000點是肯定可以繼續走上去的,認真識托市。此外,在農曆新年後的首四個交易日,新開設A股戶口的數字平均每日有11.7萬名。即使在上周的黑色星期二,當日開立新戶口仍達13萬個,刷新紀錄,反映內地股民對投資熱情未減。

國企股回歸A股有得炒,股民更需留意久違了的紅籌股,因為傳6月推出讓紅籌股回歸發A股的新政策,即使傳聞最終落空,也要注視這類公司的動向。按照目前內地法律規定,這些在海外註冊的紅籌公司受制於內地《公司法》和《證券法》相關規定,例如需境內註冊滿3年,並有3年盈利紀錄等不同法規限制,以致目前無法在內地以A股集資上市,而且牽涉多個部門處理上市問題,要即時落實恐有難度,但市場既有流言,意味政府多少想打探口風,而這種不明朗因素正好提供難得的炒作機會。

過去紅籌股曾風光一時,但如今情況已變,如北京控股(392)上周五收市18.7元計,較去年同期升24.6%,而上海實業(363)上周五收市17.98元計,較去年同期僅升7.9%,表現相對國企股指數較去年同期上升38%來說,並非突出,但如果紅籌股成功打入內地市場集資,不但可加強融資能力,且管治質素較有保證,試問內地股民會否放棄這個投資機會?而且紅籌股用「人仔」投資回內地,更不用在海外籌美元,蝕匯率差價!認真划算,股民們必須多加留意此潮流走勢。

新鴻基的文化事業
禤中怡上個禮拜行過書店,見到梁文道、孔少林等人搞的上書局,在新鴻基地產(016)全力贊助下,出了本叫《讀書好》的雜誌,據聞反應好好,初印兩萬本,一下子被人掃晒,還加印添。證明道長等幾位文化人,以及新鴻基郭氏兄弟的努力,都無白費。呢樣亦睇到新鴻基不單只是因西九項目才會關注文化事業,而是郭家真的有心去搞,至少西九無話要搞個圖書館出嚟先。不過雜誌裡面有一欄是講推廣閱讀漫畫,查實是幾有必要。因為好多日本人,查實都是細個睇慣漫畫,長大後反而會拿起文字本書來看。問題是,現時做漫畫一樣世界難撈。

最近紐約召開漫畫高峰會(New York City Comic Convention),其中談到的一個現象就是,今時今日的細路查實不睇漫畫。大家試想現時出世的小朋友,屋企又有高清電視、又有各類好似任天堂新Wii那麼好玩的遊戲機,他們還有甚麼意欲睇漫畫書?

當然在這個高峰會上,有人提出不少人在手機上睇漫畫。禤中怡在參觀去年國際電訊聯盟大會期間,見到日本京瓷(Kyocera)搞了一個項目,就是在3G手機睇漫畫書。但禤中怡去東京旅行時,見到好多日本學生,對住3G手機,寧願用SMS對談,都不睇漫畫書。自和記推出X-Series後,禤中怡已經見到好多香港潮人,拿住部3G手機同人在MSN交談。你話漫畫同埋書本,點樣同五花八門的新科技,爭奪年青一代有限的時間同空間?

所以現時連漫畫都變成老餅行業,十幾廿年前拿著《龍虎門》是壞學生,現在如果有學生願意看
漫畫的話,情況卻截然不同。推廣睇書,看來要同推廣漫畫拍住上,因為在呢個年代,這兩個文化產業簡直是難兄難弟,要在呢個年代推廣睇書,真是任重而道遠。

(3月5日刊於《am730》)

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