Saturday, February 17, 2007

證券行花紅厚

雖然市場波動,但大家都樂於投資股票,無疑為港交所(388)提供源源不絕的收入,另一個能夠受惠港股上落的,必然是證券行,因為交投金額大幅增加,佣金自然水漲船高,證券從業員也應可分一杯羹。

與土炮經紀行行家談起,他們也說今年花紅都算「和味」,因證券行始終有勝人一籌的服務,銀行未必可以搶得到,例如老嫩投資者聚在一起,有傾有講外,證券行落盤特別快,至於銀行替你做買賣指令就要等一等了。遇著熟客的話,證券行更容許炒即日鮮,上午買入,下午賣出結算,其他功夫讓證券行處理,運作速度非銀行可應付,難怪銀行要減佣搶客。

朋友話第一上海向員工派送的花紅最少相等於3個月月薪。另一華資證券行恒豐證券已派發2至4個月花紅,讓員工過肥年。聽聞台資凱基證券更以4個月薪金為起點,相信要找BEN鄺(凱基證券董事鄺民彬也!)請吃飯了。中資背景的證券行也不遑多讓,像申銀證券都給員工4至6個月花紅,認真大手筆,因為比之前數年的花紅還要好。當然,對比外資大行仍有一段距離,甚麼高盛出100個月花紅等,的確是令人羨慕不已。

不過,並非公司內人人有份,例如做企業融資、盤房落指令的自然有得分,但營業代表就恐無法分享了,因為早已與公司分佣,難再有花紅。其實,有些投資專家甚至在證券行掛單,如公司提供器材,讓這些專家自己炒賣,或者自己找客戶幫忙,同時與公司協議一個交易下限,便可自己開工。這種合作模式的好處是證券行肯定有一定交易額,又無需多養一個營業代表,投資專家亦有地方自行「坐盤」,省回一筆經紀佣金,真的是一家便宜兩家著,遇上大升市,分分鐘獲利金額比那份花紅還高。

面對如斯好景,應否重新注視從事金融業務的上市公司如時富投資(1049)、大福證券(665)呢?特別是那些仍持有港交所股份的公司肯定肥到不得了,皆因港交所股價大幅上揚,帳面利潤非同小可。聽聞聯合集團(373)旗下新鴻基金融還持有港交所股份。缸邊朋友更話睇這些公司的年報或可露端倪,只需找尋「證券投資」一欄,相信他們主要持有的就是港交所股份,隨時因投資價值上升而帶動盈利大增。但由於去年業務表現太理想,意味盈利基數必然提高,故今年要繼續增長的話,需加倍努力,並且要天時配合,奈何今年經濟料將反覆,難如去年般差不多全年造好,指數屢破高位,所以只可憧憬去年業績理想而有短期炒作概念,想從這類股份身上賺大錢,相信不容易。

股市反彈乏力說回大市,恒指高開170點後,曾升上全日高位20,330點,可惜午後趨反覆,尾市更將升幅收窄,最終收20,209點,升77點,增幅僅0.4%。國企股指數收市只升35點至9,746點。全日港股總成交額更下降14%至428.78億元,顯示買盤意欲不大,在缺乏承接下,後市反彈乏力。

細價股續氣勢如虹,上次提及的七星購物(245)料有後著之際,昨日即演繹莊家實力,不但一如所料,「批盪」5.75億股新股,集資約3.9億元,再「表演」股價復牌不跌反升,全日再升31%至0.92元,以每股0.68元認購新股的投資者顯然已有斬獲。

另一隻新確科技(1063)供股完畢後,股價昨急升29%至0.53元,股壇長毛David Webb一向持有該股,相信應飲得杯落。不過,他昨日仍秉公辦理,反對港交所擱置進一步收窄股份買賣差價,並重申應該繼續執行。若真的收窄差價,新確每次將由升1仙改為升0.1仙,不知何時到價呢?

(2月15日刊於《am730》)

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