Wednesday, February 28, 2007

中央預警黑色星期二

內地股民在豬年新春首個交易日才開心一陣,迎來的竟是措手不及的「殺豬記」,股市跌個翻天覆地,更估不到的是重複美國78年前的「黑色星期二」。內地《東方博客》一篇文章或許揭露官方早早用盡方法提醒。

在豬年大年初一,當全球華人正熱烈地慶祝新歲時,官方新華社網站發表名為“歷史上兩次股市大崩盤”的文章,以極富現場感的文字記載了美國兩次大股災的情況,還刊登了昔日以「大崩盤」為主題的《時代周刊》封面。該文章描述了1929及1987年美國兩次股災,提醒中國股民記取那些「黑色的記憶」:在1929年10月29日,紐約證券交易所剛開市,猛烈的拋單就席捲而來,拋!拋!拋!所有股票成燙手山芋,不計價格、不計成本,只要拋掉就好,經紀人被「拋」得發暈、交易大廳一片混亂,隨之而來的就是道瓊斯指數一瀉千里,跌幅達22%。這是紐約交易所112年來歷史上「最糟糕的一天」,以這個被稱作「黑色星期二」的日子為開端,美國乃至全球進入了長達10年的經濟大蕭條時期。

為了令熱爆的股市降溫,中國政府不惜用盡法寶,選擇在春節假期前提高存款準備金率,抽走市場逾千億元人民幣,務求要在年初九豬年首個交易日開出一個黑盤,奈何要至昨日才發生。

不過,內地股民亦探求究竟今次死因何在及未來去向。禤中怡在網上發現談論股市的網民很多,有些講法或可為大家提供線索:

1)香港監管機構高層在節前及節後利用不同場合,採取不同的形式多次提醒香港的投資者:內地股市漲幅過大,可能影響港股,注意風險!
2)春節後人民幣兌美元匯價下跌;
3)內地監管部門要在春節後開始嚴查流入股市的違規信貸資金,並將加大老鼠倉清理力度,而且力度將遠遠超出預期;
4)節前為了保持穩定,政策推出為主,股市積累一定獲利盤;
5)根本原因是大盤自05年5月以來漲幅太大,本身需要調整;
6)內地股市指數期貨將於4至5月間推出;
7)港交所(388)擬重啟商品期貨,4月或推H股金融指數期貨;
8)全國政協及人大會議舉行期間考慮台海形勢在最壞預算下的措施;
9)傳聞中國證監會主席尚福林離職;
10)有基金公司發生巨額贖回,昨天開始拋售套現;
11)中國人民銀行行長周小川關注物價上漲,鼓勵討論股市是否過熱;
12)昨日上午傳聞:中國銀監會聯合其他部委將展開新一輪違規資金查處。

另外,有網民從走勢分析,認為周一普遍大漲的只是低價股,昨日大跌的是高價股,而這次急挫主要是因大盤已處在歷史性高位,獲利盤太大,形成高價股大幅獲利回吐,但指數大跌不是問題,因為指數的上落,純粹反映藍籌股股價波動所造成的市場影響力,仍建議選低價股。

不過,有網民則以春季是個充滿變數的季節,時有「倒春寒」或颱風侵襲,颱風過後會發現受風暴摧殘最慘重的往往是那些參天大樹或是一些根基不穩的目標,並認為內地股市也表現典型季節性特點,低價股往往是炒作的發源地。

有股民更話股市若再大跌幾百點,恐怕在全國人大舉行時,坐在主席台上的最高領導人的面子會很難看,代表們也不開心,全國股民與其家庭加起來要有2億人不開心,這種場面在兩會召開期間是極不協調的!

(2月28日刊於《am730》)

11 Comments:

At 9:42 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

good post

 
At 6:09 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

Yes! Finally someone writes about getting ex.

My page :: how to make a guy fall in love with you

 
At 8:51 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

longchamp handbags, michael kors outlet, prada outlet, burberry outlet, prada handbags, oakley sunglasses cheap, jordan shoes, tory burch outlet, nike shoes, michael kors outlet, gucci outlet, louboutin outlet, longchamp outlet, kate spade handbags, air max, nike free, coach outlet store online, ray ban sunglasses, louboutin, kate spade outlet, michael kors outlet, true religion jeans, tiffany and co, coach purses, louis vuitton, tiffany and co, oakley sunglasses, louboutin, ray ban sunglasses, louis vuitton outlet stores, burberry outlet, michael kors outlet, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors outlet, coach outlet, louis vuitton handbags, longchamp handbags, polo ralph lauren outlet, chanel handbags, michael kors outlet, christian louboutin shoes, oakley sunglasses, true religion jeans, louis vuitton outlet, coach factory outlet, air max, polo ralph lauren outlet

 
At 8:51 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

nike air max, sac louis vuitton, true religion outlet, abercrombie and fitch, sac louis vuitton, hollister, north face, nike free pas cher, sac longchamp, ray ban pas cher, air max, ray ban sunglasses, vanessa bruno, louis vuitton uk, mulberry, lululemon, sac guess, converse pas cher, michael kors, true religion outlet, michael kors, oakley pas cher, nike roshe run, polo lacoste, ralph lauren, sac burberry, nike free, michael kors pas cher, nike roshe, air max pas cher, louis vuitton, louboutin, nike tn, hogan outlet, air force, nike trainers, air jordan, longchamp, air max, polo ralph lauren, barbour, north face, hollister, timberland, nike blazer, sac hermes, vans pas cher, new balance pas cher

 
At 8:57 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

ugg australia, canada goose jackets, soccer shoes, ferragamo shoes, celine handbags, canada goose outlet, uggs outlet, mcm handbags, lululemon outlet, p90x, wedding dresses, canada goose, marc jacobs, asics running shoes, birkin bag, instyler, soccer jerseys, giuseppe zanotti, jimmy choo outlet, rolex watches, new balance shoes, ghd, chi flat iron, nike roshe run, north face jackets, mont blanc, mac cosmetics, babyliss pro, reebok outlet, ugg boots, ugg boots, insanity workout, hollister, vans shoes, beats by dre, ugg, bottega veneta, north face outlet, valentino shoes, ugg pas cher, nfl jerseys, herve leger, canada goose, canada goose, longchamp, canada goose uk, nike huarache, abercrombie and fitch

 
At 9:04 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

louboutin, moncler, montre homme, hollister clothing store, lancel, moncler, moncler, karen millen, vans, louis vuitton, parajumpers, moncler, juicy couture outlet, links of london, converse, air max, swarovski, supra shoes, thomas sabo, ray ban, pandora jewelry, converse shoes, oakley, canada goose, toms shoes, gucci, juicy couture outlet, pandora charms, pandora charms, swarovski crystal, moncler, rolex watches, coach outlet store online, wedding dresses, iphone 6 cases, moncler outlet, canada goose, moncler, air max, ralph lauren, baseball bats, ugg, timberland boots, hollister, hollister, ugg

 
At 1:43 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ninest123 10.19
prada handbags, oakley sunglasses wholesale, oakley sunglasses, cheap oakley sunglasses, christian louboutin outlet, uggs outlet, uggs outlet, michael kors outlet, christian louboutin uk, michael kors outlet online, michael kors outlet online, ray ban sunglasses, ugg boots, replica watches, polo outlet, uggs on sale, nike free, tory burch outlet, louis vuitton, christian louboutin, burberry outlet, gucci handbags, michael kors outlet, christian louboutin shoes, burberry handbags, replica watches, tiffany and co, louis vuitton outlet, jordan shoes, longchamp outlet, louis vuitton, michael kors outlet store, michael kors outlet online, oakley sunglasses, chanel handbags, tiffany jewelry, kate spade outlet, louis vuitton outlet, ugg boots, nike air max, nike air max, longchamp outlet, longchamp outlet, prada outlet, ray ban sunglasses, nike outlet, polo ralph lauren outlet online, ray ban sunglasses

 
At 1:44 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

timberland pas cher, north face, sac vanessa bruno, nike roshe run uk, hollister pas cher, coach outlet, ray ban pas cher, jordan pas cher, longchamp pas cher, michael kors, nike roshe, vans pas cher, lululemon canada, polo lacoste, nike air force, nike air max, nike blazer pas cher, true religion jeans, true religion outlet, nike free run, ralph lauren uk, nike free uk, mulberry uk, coach outlet, new balance, ray ban uk, nike tn, true religion outlet, guess pas cher, michael kors outlet, abercrombie and fitch uk, sac hermes, true religion outlet, oakley pas cher, nike air max uk, coach purses, air max, burberry pas cher, michael kors pas cher, louboutin pas cher, michael kors, north face uk, converse pas cher, nike air max uk, kate spade, polo ralph lauren, sac longchamp pas cher, hollister uk, hogan outlet, coach outlet store online

 
At 1:46 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ray ban, ralph lauren, hollister clothing, lululemon, mac cosmetics, mcm handbags, babyliss, longchamp uk, reebok outlet, converse, celine handbags, beats by dre, herve leger, timberland boots, nike trainers uk, vans, louboutin, baseball bats, insanity workout, north face outlet, iphone 6 cases, gucci, nfl jerseys, hollister, vans outlet, soccer jerseys, nike roshe run, north face outlet, instyler, abercrombie and fitch, converse outlet, mont blanc pens, chi flat iron, p90x workout, ghd hair, giuseppe zanotti outlet, oakley, jimmy choo outlet, ferragamo shoes, nike air max, nike huaraches, new balance shoes, hermes belt, wedding dresses, hollister, asics running shoes, bottega veneta, soccer shoes, nike air max, valentino shoes, oakley sunglasses, louis vuitton outlet

 
At 1:47 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

doudoune moncler, canada goose, pandora uk, pandora charms, wedding dresses, doke gabbana, karen millen uk, michael kors handbags, lancel, michael kors outlet, moncler, louis vuitton, canada goose outlet, louis vuitton, louis vuitton, louis vuitton, moncler outlet, canada goose jackets, moncler, moncler outlet, links of london, hollister, canada goose uk, ugg uk, toms shoes, replica watches, barbour, pandora jewelry, juicy couture outlet, ugg,uggs,uggs canada, canada goose, moncler, ugg,ugg australia,ugg italia, louis vuitton, coach outlet, michael kors outlet online, juicy couture outlet, canada goose outlet, ugg pas cher, swarovski crystal, canada goose, thomas sabo, supra shoes, swarovski, barbour uk, moncler, moncler uk, canada goose outlet, ugg, pandora jewelry, marc jacobs, montre pas cher
ninest123 10.19

 
At 1:46 PM, Blogger raybanoutlet001 said...

adidas tubular
nike huarache
michael kors handbags clearance
oakley vault
cheap jerseys from china
louboutin shoes
nike zoom kobe
http://www.cheapairjordan.us
coach outlet online
retro jordans
adidas stan smith men
michael kors handbags
adidas nmd
nike kobe sneakers
adidas stan smith women
cheap air jordan
adidas yeezy boost
discount oakley sunglasses
yeezy
air jordan shoes
michael kors outlet

 

Post a Comment

<< Home