Thursday, March 20, 2008

里安納度來港

減息未停,美股大彈,奈何港股似乎真的乏力向上。話雖滙豐控股(005)、東亞銀行(023)和新鴻基地產(016)昨日股息除淨,多少對股價造成變化,但純屬技術上操作,按理減息0.75厘,也算是一個不小的數目,以近期慘淡氣氛中,送來一個好消息,豈知大市只能升482點,連22,000點也無力攻破,是否代表存有暗湧呢?


首先,現貨月期指收市較現貨低水逾200點,大戶好淡角力未止。第二,藍籌企業公布的業績應屬理想,甚至超越預期,令人喜出望外,可惜大家心理虛怯,憂慮仍然低處未算低。


好像見到中國移動(941)份07年成績表,相信不得不佩服管理層的營商能力,可以推動一間大企業的盈利增長32%,若果維持相若速度,豈不是3年就可將盈利翻一番?看似難上加難,但只要看看流動通訊普及化速度之快就知,更重要的是,這間企業淨現金已累積至超過1,530億元人民幣!不過,該股股價日前竟曾跌破100元關口,昨日才隨大市升近3%至107.6元收市,試問藍籌股的表現也不過如此,其他股份試問又如何吸引投資者入市呢?


另一個令大市表現疲弱的原因,相信從近期看財經節目便知,皆因投資者手上股票變「蟹貨」,即買入價高於現時股價,最大問題的是相差幅度相當大,像以每股50元買騰訊(700),股價於周二收市只有38.8元,足足不見了22.4%。儘管該股昨日公布業績,盈利升47%,股價亦升6%至41.15元,與家鄉仍有段距離。


同證券界朋友談起,自去年中以來,港股已建立兩個蟹貨區,第一個在26,000至30,000點,第二個位於22,000至25,000點,目前正醞釀第三個,難怪向上阻力重重。


息口從來已偏低,今次再減息,不過是重新提醒大家已進入紅簿仔利息根本不足以應付通脹時代。禤中怡一直鼓勵朋友將資金作長線投資,愈早投資,所獲回報就可實現自己的理想或目標。


題外話,環保這個大課題,普羅大眾外,有些明星更身體力行,禤中怡聽到賓架朋友談起,有大銀行邀請了《鐵達尼號》男主角里安納度狄卡比奧(Leonardo DiCaprio)這位萬人迷來港訪問,大談環保工作,相信短期內會成行,屆時大家又可一睹這位明星的風采,只要有進一步消息,禤中怡立即向大家報告。


里安納度狄卡比奧堪稱荷李活的環保代表,早在10年前,他已成立Leonardo DiCaprio基金會,現在更籌備一套名為「E-topic」的新電視劇,實行做真人show,前往美國城鎮,將其變成「環保理想家園」,實行用專長的演藝能力去推廣環保。


(3月20日刊於《am730》)

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