Monday, December 24, 2007

金光又再閃

金融行業在07年旺到不得了,且看港交所(388)那份統計數據便一清二楚。06年所創紀錄,如總成交額、衍生產權證上市數目等,都已大幅拋離舊紀錄,現在要改口「一年人事幾番新」,絕對可體現香港的活力及反彈能力有多強。


不要小覷這些交投數字,以截至本月14日,港股總成交金額20.9618萬億元為例,假設全部交易按0.25%佣金做買賣,粗略計一計,合共收佣金就達524億元,以大行為首的A組經紀佔市場交投一半比重,即拿掉逾250億元,而B組的中型行和其他小型行組成的C組則瓜分餘下約38%和12%,也算不俗。


做得辛苦,自然要論功行賞,間間大企業都話要加薪酬,像滙豐已表明員工有加,禤中怡聽到這個好消息,立刻找在獅子銀行打工的朋友恭賀一番。朋友話,真正加薪日未有那麼快,按照銀行慣常程序明年1月先進行表現評核,看看員工在過去一年的表現如何,經評核後才決定每月可多袋幾多,最快3、4月才會見到紅簿仔(可惜今日滙豐的儲蓄存摺已變灰色)發出的耀眼光芒,屆時便知道究竟有多燦爛。禤中怡聽完也替朋友高興。


其實,獅子銀行像其他企業一樣,也要為考慮挽留人才,或者俗點講,希望令幫公司賺錢的員工繼續賣力,兼賺多點錢,加點員工成本又有何問題呢?隨時將員工單位成本加些少,便令每名員工平均收入提升多多,效益哪個高,人力資源部自然會向上司匯報。


朋友更話,銀行今年9月已經向個別員工加薪,所以若果全體有薪酬調升,代表有員工在短短半年間調整兩次薪酬,認真和味,對打工仔來說確是最佳回報。


不過,今年對金融業打擊最大的非次按風暴莫屬,所以大家特別關注次按部門員工及在次按投資方面孭重飛的美資大行如何捱過嚴冬。


《華爾街日報》上周話,美林(Merrill Lynch)正與新加坡淡馬錫洽談,後者可能斥50億美元(約390億港元)投資美林,以紓緩美林受次按拖累所產生的資金問題,繼大摩、花旗和瑞銀後,獲新水支持的大行。


幸好,美林香港業務似乎表現不俗,畢竟港股成交多,單是佣金收入肯定已相當豐厚,故此派發的花紅依然爽手,已講明今年的肯定不會比06年少,相信已為員工派定心丸,而一個普通員工,有兩個月花紅已屬基本動作,皆因他們也有付出嘛!當然,幫公司搵大錢的交易員(trader),甚至是投資部門的賓架,他們的貢獻就更大,一單大deal動輒過億元,公司自然視為掌上明珠,加上大部分業績都能夠達標,所以花紅金額相等於半年至1年的薪酬,都不足為奇。其他業務部門的花紅相對較少,特別是,因做次按相關部門「揩嘢」,不用裁員也算幸福了。


那麼明年薪酬又有冇向上調整空間呢?美資行也懂得「雞髀打人牙骹軟」,單是普通員工的薪酬,可望最少有5%至8%的增幅,算多算少自己衡量,但基本薪酬已不俗,意味基數非低,在大行中相信排在前列位置,即使加幅少,實際落袋的銀碼也不會差到哪裡去。


禤中怡同證券界朋友談起,原來華資證券行今年生意也非常好,當然花紅金額不能與大行同日而語,畢竟規模較細,但最重要的是,這類證券行基本上與美國次按根本沾不上關係,自然沒有「內傷」。


此外,華資證券行對明年金融市道依然看好,因為只聞樓梯響的「港股直通車」,可望於明年有機會落實,而合資格境內機構投資者(QDII)湧過來的資金,相信會繼續來港買股票,進一步提供新水喉。要知道,這些資金也要找人幫手買賣,證券行接到這類生意的話,即使佣金可能收得低一點,也可提升營業額,試問華資行老闆見到這種場面,能否視若無睹,只是象徵式減些少佣呢?


(12月24日刊於《am730》)

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