Thursday, April 12, 2007

花旗瘦身誰人免死

花旗集團全部員工等待的一刻終來臨,因為傳聞已久的全球大裁員正式公布,要裁減1.7萬名員工。據中環賓架朋友話,由於位處營運成本高的地區,花旗在香港的員工難免會受影響,據說都是裁員重災區。

不過,在金鐘花園道頂樓返工的就「定過抬炸彈」,無他,禤中怡之前談到花旗被人大挖角後,原來德意志銀行近日發動第二輪斬首式挖角,又有一批花旗銀行中高層被撬過檔。如果再挖落去,還需裁員嗎?所以裁員相信不會向投資銀行同私人銀行部門開刀。但香港花旗並非不用交人,據知,這次裁員派大信封重災區,非信用卡業務莫屬。其實,信用卡業務員工積極拉客,相信大家在街上都經常見到那些推銷開卡的哥哥姐姐,但客戶能否保持高質素就真是要打個問號。OA(催帳)部門的員工曾因追數追到過晒火,有客戶要搵律師向該行追討,索回追數費,因為香港行英式法律,客戶無責任承擔追數費,你份合約寫到天花龍鳳,在法庭上贏面不大,迫住和解收場。結果銀行自己承擔費用,兼且要支付對方的律師費。

除了信用卡部門外,Back-office(後勤部門)同Middle-office(金融機構內一般負責計算交易盈虧及風險管理的部門)員工料亦擔驚受怕,因為花旗已講明,Back-office和Middle-office是裁員重點,如果不在花園道返工,而在鰂魚涌太古坊,甚至更遠的地方上班,禤中怡祝你好運,因為其他銀行料正擴張,要再搵工應不會太困難。

美國股民對花旗裁員則不太認同,因為很多研究員認為花旗並非冗員多,反而是核心業務投資不夠,應該要加碼請人才是,所以花旗裁員公布後,股價無甚起色。且看今次花旗裁員瘦身是真減肥,抑或是只係患了「企業病態厭食症」的表現。如果屬後者的話,估計不出5年,花旗現時周圍派大信封俾人的管理層,就輪到他們收大信封,皆因看錯市也。但連公司都被認為患「厭食症」,是否近年各大公司崇尚瘦身,已經有些過火,值得大家諗諗。

內地股市帶挈港股
恒指成份股加入中資股的威力顯現,皆因這類股份藉內地股市熱爆造好,令該指數連升4日,從19,800點累升649點,難得是昨日尾市發力向上,更衝上20,502點高位,雖以20,449點收市,但仍續升101點,港股總市值更突破14萬億元,再創新高。中國人壽(2628)對恒指貢獻28點,更超越龍頭股中國移動(941)的僅升13點貢獻。至於中國石化(386)續升4%至7.43元,帶動指數增19.88點,反映中資股主宰天下。國企股指數亦不用多言,已連升7日,收復低位所有失地,收報10,149點,而港股全日總成交額573億元。

滬深股市昨日交投大幅增加,首度突破2,400億元人民幣,指數更雙雙創下歷史新高,並且已連升8日。上海證券綜合指數收報3,495.22點,上漲1.48%。深圳證券成份指數收市亦升1%至9,753.77點。中資金融股已成為帶動指數向上的動力之一,中國工商銀行(1398)和中國人壽(2628)的A股升0.18%和2.85%。至於中國石化(386)的A股更升7.1%。申銀萬國有份報告預測,第一季A股公司平均淨利潤有望增長55%,增幅較之前預期的40%上調15個百分點,是否代表長升長有呢?港股和內地股市互動關係隨著A加H股上市公司數目增加而提升,這個趨勢不能再忽視,因為這邊升,那邊漲,反映股價走勢只會愈來愈接近,而在內地股民支持優質股情況下,這類龍頭股可能仍有好表現,值得留意。不過,二三線股氣勢近期有轉弱跡象,有些更出現先升後跌,小心大戶派貨走人。

(4月12日刊於《am730》)

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