有危不一定有機
聽完葛霖牧師的美言,大家就要看真章,因為滙豐控股(005)巨額撇帳,話雖公司依然有錢賺,兼且有息派,但昨日仍有大量股東選擇沽出股票表態。滙控股價在歐美跌到人仰馬翻後,本港股價裂口低開近20%,見45.95元,若無心理準備,肯定被嚇著,雖然全日大部分時間都企在低位以上,奈何走貨心態迫切,接貨的也不易,股價易跌難升,且看大手成交逾1,400宗,便知戰況激烈程度,涉及股份數目便超過8,400萬股,以平均價46.63元計,已佔逾39.1億元,即該股成交額近七成比重,其餘三成多成交,相信少不了散戶入市捧場。
最慘烈的,恐怕是靠股息做主要收入的退休人士,皆因財息俱失也,要換碼又不易,只有白白看著投資被蒸發。禤中怡認識的其中一位朋友,亦以買入滙控股份作長線投資的首選對象,希望藉收取穩定股息作為日常生活開支所需。
朋友更曾經往滙豐銀行分行,被經理拉著講投資,朋友問一聲,有甚麼好過買滙控股份時,經理頓時語塞。可惜,當時那位經理若果提出分散投資策略,不但自己有生意,更可以幫助客戶避險也,但有誰會倒自己公司「米」呢?
除了股價大挫外,是次減派股息影響亦非同小可,分分鐘要降低生活質素才可應付日常開支,而供股與否更是費煞思量,可見滙控管理層確是傷盡很多忠心股東的心。
更嚴重的是,獅子銀行甚至已經進入危機(Crisis)的境況。或許有點危言聳聽,但望望一些大師對危機的定義,包括對公司未來成長、獲利等發生潛在威脅的事件,又或是企業重要價值受到威脅等,與滙控目前情況來看,確有相似地方。
一般人聽到危機,以為可以用「人棄我取」,低位吸納的投資策略,希望趁自己認為是低位的價錢去投資,甚至視之機會,更特別的是,「危機」這兩個字,大家常聽到所謂有危就有機,而這個「機」對我們來說,就是機會,可以獲得利益。不過,企業內部出現問題,需要重新處理和解決危機,而這個「機」只代表了企業能夠脫險的機會,或者降低財務危機爆發時的不利效應。
好了,滙控管理層終於肯大刀闊斧地,將美國滙豐融資作巨額撇帳,而重組美國業務的動作亦正式啟動,意味要做大手術,希望能夠化險為夷,管理層只顧拯救美國業務務,怎能有時間和精力專注企業發展呢?況且做手術找出病源,隨時有併發症,《金融時報》的Lex專欄話,滙控還有項待售債務證券未變現虧損達214億美元(約1,669億港元),質疑是次供股集資所得,是否真的足夠應付未來填氹所需?
猶記得偉易達(330)購入美國朗訊電訊產品業務後,最終下場是撥備10億元,需要長時間療傷才可復元,德昌電機(179)也曾經在墨西哥慘遇重組而支付龐大支出。今日輪到滙控元氣大傷,再加上外圍經濟亦差,恐怕要恢復過來,實在要花很大力氣。
(3月4日刊於《am730》)
76 Comments:
家下買銀行股,情願買渣打好過啦。
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كرّست شركة البيوت للخدمات المنزلية جهودها لتوفير أعلى مستويات الراحة والأمان في منزلك، والذي يحتاج إلى مزيد من العناية والاهتمام بكثير من التفاصيل ليوفر لقاطنيه مقومات الأمان والرفاهية، ويمنح أفراد الأسرة مزيدا من الشعور بالراحة والسكينة، ويجنبهم مواجهة الكثير من المشاكل المنزلية التي قد يتعرضون لحدوثها.
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