Wednesday, November 19, 2008

廠佬簽短約求生

裁員潮的威力確嚇怕投資者,花旗集團(Citigroup)話將裁減5.2萬名同事之後,美股周二先跌223點,昨日亞洲股市又再震盪,除日股跌逾2.2%外,其餘區內多個股市指數均下跌超過3%,而恒指大挫4.5%,就更屬重傷行列。

港股表現不濟,多少還受內地股市連升多日後,大幅下挫所拖累,且看上海股市急跌6.3%,而深圳股市就更恐怖,一日內證券綜合成分指數便大瀉7.2%,必然引致港股跌勢較其他地區股市為深,當中國企股指數更直插5.3%。無他,你追我趕地跌,完全凸顯H股同內地A股的相互間關係。再望一望,大部分H股股價比A股股價已有顯著折讓,即H股比A股的價格低,僅平安保險(2318)溢價4.8%外,還有海螺水泥(914)溢價16.9%而已。

不過,平保醞釀同富通打官司,因為比利時報章話平保早前要求富通集團讓其股東決定是否分開銀行及保險業務,惟不獲受理,平保或提出訴訟,而市場憂慮平保續為所持富通股份作撇帳,引致昨日又出現不問價式拋售,最低曾滑落13%,收市仍不見了11.9%至29.1元,成為最重傷的藍籌股。

其實,溫總一聲救市,豪拋4萬億元人民幣,確實有刺激經濟作用,可惜大家事後才知道,原來當中包含社會和民間資金投入的,中央實際拿出來的只有逾1萬億元,難免令人有被誤導的感覺。

幸好各地政府一呼百應,江蘇話使3,000億元(人民幣,下同)、廣東更拋出2.3萬億元、上海一個市也要投入5,000億元等等,難怪《上海證券報》計一計數,竟然變出6萬億元的投資額!比溫總提出的金額還要多,但當中又有多少水份,又有多少是貼金工程?

溫總灑完甘露,還在上周末匆匆來廣東省,實地考察當地中小企的經營狀況,過幾日政府就頒布凍結上調最低工資的規定,希望讓企業喘喘氣,認真快手。禤中怡找開工廠的朋友恭喜獲政府施援手,起碼可以浮上水面吸啖氣,吊住條命,但朋友呻,其實《勞動合同法》才是罪魁禍首,例如自己間廠十多年來相安無事,但今年竟然第一次有工人罷工,最後惟有俾多些少了事,認真頭痛。

為減輕負擔,朋友話簡直要扭盡六壬,例如同員工簽僱傭合約,為期僅5個半月,合約屆滿後,再多補半個月糧,之後又再簽同一款合約,希望避開龐大遣散費,因為按照法例,員工每做滿一年,即使6個月以上而不滿一年的,亦按一年計算;需支付一個月工資的遣散費,年資愈久,條數就愈襟計。他說省回大筆遣散費開支,自己計落仍有錢可賺,間廠便可繼續做,員工亦有工開,變相大家雙贏,故建議溫總最好盡快睇睇條法例有否修改空間,否則無人開廠,下崗工人數目一多,問題就大了。

(11月19日刊於《am730》)

9 Comments:

At 4:26 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said...

我公司是在國內開設紡織染廠,由於舉辦北京奧運,要做好環保工作,大部份化工廠要減低產量或停產,引至所有原材料供應不足價格上漲,在國內經營成本有增無減,再加上"勞動合同法"出台使我們中小企雪上加霜,現在又要面對金融海嘯,我廠在年頭已和員工簽訂勞動合同,在出年年頭約滿,現在未清晰如何續約,看到你這編"廠佬簽短約求生"很想知道更多求生方法,希望有經驗廠商可以有更多資料提供,謝謝!

 
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