Monday, May 19, 2014

好景不長

內地人借假轉機入境香港逍遙快活,原來早已建立一套模式,聽朋友談起,原來在短短1個小時內,曾見有3批內地客藉此來港。
聽聞內地旅客多聲稱自己「乘搭」CX777(即國泰航班,由香港飛印尼首都雅加達),又話有當地朋友接待,總之詳情欠奉,難得有官員問是否去印尼首都曼谷作試探,對方竟稱是,總之批准入香港便可,令人啼笑皆非。
其實,用這方法雖可省卻申請通行證,但下次想重施故技已不容易,何不花兩小時飛越南河內短遊再來港,免被列黑名單。
當然,現在往越南有危險,禤中怡的商界朋友早在多年前已於當地設廠、甚至發展房地產,上周聽到消息,立刻致電問候,幸好他們均在港,不用奢望港府安排包機回來。朋友話當地工人其實肯做,即使當地也設立最低工資制度,只要加一成,基本上已心滿意足。
不過,事件會否打擊剛好轉的經濟實難料,朋友話,早兩年息口高見20厘,通脹又高,但隨著經濟改善,貨幣匯率相對穩定,今年當地環境不錯,通脹亦降至6%至7%,消費市道也佳。至於甲級寫字樓的出租率亦由兩年前的四、五成,提升至目前的七成。
此外,自去年第二季起,當地每月出口額逾百億美元,今年更升穿130億美元,出口比入口多,亦因此改善貿易逆差情況,擴大貿易盈餘,2月更高見逾14億美元盈餘。可惜,只見台資港資工廠慘遭破壞,出口維持強勢恐難延續,但在東南亞國家中,又有幾多個可揀?相信投資者最終還是要重投懷抱,可能日日穿上「我愛越南」的襯衫,希望避過一劫。
(5月19日刊於《am730》)

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