Monday, April 14, 2014

撲朔迷離的供股

牌面看,滬港通像內地水喉射港股,儼如「港股直通車」,並先讓內地機構投資者及最少有50萬人仔的個人投資者方可,但若是企業及有財力的私人投資者,相信早已登陸港股,證券界朋友過去一直幫內地客開戶,後者回內地後以網上或電話指令落盤,根本不用等「港股通」。
影響更深遠的,相信是外來資金協助「救活」內地股市,畢竟買賣A股非內地投資者不可,即使可外資入市,規模亦有限,今趟可藉「滬股通」擴大水源。但有兩點要留意,第一,並非香港人熟悉的股份都在上交所掛牌,如股神巴菲特愛股比亞迪(1211)和浙江世寶(1057)均於深圳交易所上市,這次未能受惠,小心炒錯。
第二,即使是AH股,始終要看基本因素,否則虛火後只能變牆紙,像重慶鋼鐵(1053)於2011年蝕完,2012年轉賺,去年又再虧損,更蝕近25億人仔,恐怕今年要努力,否則連蝕兩年,按上交所上市規定分分鐘要除牌。當然,好友或以炒復甦和母公司重組資產救仔等,但該股上周五急彈8%後,會否有力再上,真要望清楚。
至於港交所(388)看似有新水來臨,股價即彈11.5%,至146元,成交驟增至68.6億元,卻未見股價不明升因及成交額大增的通告,或許大家都知,不用做這個例行公事了。從擴大交易範圍而言,個餅看似有所擴大,但若果轉炒A股的多,炒港股的少,兩者抵銷後,港交所的交易費收入會否受影響?
談到搵水,近日有上市公司選擇供股集資,好像公平地讓所有股東參與,可惜看完僅能苦笑。
在市場忙於了解「滬港通」之際,堪稱「迷你和黃」的綜合企業復星國際(656)公布供股籌最多51億元,所獲資金作再融資等,變相還債用。
不過,供股比例認真撲朔迷離,與過去兩供一,甚至極端至一供二不同,竟然是每持500股(即一手股份)供39股!股份數目相當「寧丁」,如何界定這個比例,恐怕只有天知。
此外,每股供股價9.76元更與交易公布前收市價一樣,與傳統折讓供股大不同。只得一手股票的投資者付鈔380.64元供股,拿著39股當然難買賣,如果要將供股股份集齊為一手的話,最少要持有13手,方可供夠507股。
該集團更表明,處理申請額外供股股份時,不會特別優先考慮將不足一手的零碎股權補足為一手完整買賣單位之股權,意味供股後分分鐘拿著碎股,要用折讓價賣出。
母公司卻話幫手包銷,如各股東不參與供股,其持股量將由79.03%進一步增至80.54%。或許大股東有財力應付,但這種集資方式肯定令股東莫奈何。

(4月14日刊於《am730》)

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At 3:18 AM, Blogger khaled ali said...

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