Thursday, August 20, 2009

同聲同氣無你份

內地股市午後又再「肚瀉」,當然又傳收緊貸款,港股無法不跟隨走低,早上還企在20,323點,怎知午後一開市,出現直線插落的經典場面,低位見19,824點,短時間內不見了499點之多,將好友殺個措手不及,現貨收19,954點,而期指亦跌穿20,000點多1點,收報19,999點!

內地壞消息滿天飛,一時話國務院副總理王岐山夜會中國證監會和銀監會,研究收緊貸款措施,又傳要查違法資金流入樓市,隨後又有國土局收緊批地後的監管制度,避免房地產市場泡沫進一步膨脹,總之向樓市開刀已無可避免。

消息已影響內房股股價,中期純利升31%的中國海外(688)昨日仍然要挫3.6%至16.82元,而今日公布中期成績表的富力地產(2777)也要回落2.2%。其他內房股未見強大沽壓,世茂房地產(813)和瑞安房地產(272)跌逾1%,恐怕消息要待今日才全面反映出來。由於控制樓價政策將陸續出台,難免對這類股份構成壓力,唯一好處,可能是他們不用天價搶地,未嘗不是好事,只是效應反映需時。

香港人和內地人一樣,靠炒樓炒股致富,但其實努力做實業的,依然大有人在,好像近日相約工業界朋友午膳,由於朋友中港兩邊跑,食餐安樂飯也不易。大家當然不會揀中環或金鐘這些金融區,故選擇在觀塘開餐,但原來亦人頭湧湧,一點金融海嘯的味道也沒有,更有「搵食艱難」的感覺。

朋友現在每個星期,都要抽出兩天時間,逗留在內地廠房,處理大小業務,認真忙碌。他說早前擔心市道急轉直下,故未敢大幅增聘員工,而由於內地員工一向是高流失率,故亦無需裁員,也能夠達到削減成本之效。不過,市道並非想像般差,加上生意亦沒有大幅收縮,朋友話現在反而要增添人手,例如要聘請工程師等,應付新發展所需。

所謂新發展,就是朋友準備要大力拓展華東市場,皆因當地發展工業與廣東不遑多讓,所以水向低流,有商機自然不能放過,故此已經在上海設立據點,恐怕未來在當地又要多一張寫字枱,應付華東區的工作了。

當然,即使凡事恭親,恐怕亦難以分身處理港、深、滬三地業務,但他相信每月起碼要往上海走一趟,也實屬平常,畢竟該區商機處處,不容忽視。他又講明,日後在上海增聘人手時,必須選擇上海人,禤中怡聽到,反問豈不是歧視?朋友話,無辦法,同聲同氣也!原來大家談生意時,倘若雙方用上一腔上海話溝通的話,真是萬事有商量,禤中怡不禁追問,朋友聽不懂上海話,呆在當中,豈不是莫奈何?抑或走去學講上海話,朋友只有一笑置之。

禤中怡向金融界朋友談到這種情況時,他卻話回內地做生意,那套經營手法確和香港大有不同,有港資銀行回內地大展拳腳多時,「照顧」內地員工時也一肚氣,有時要在1年內加兩次薪酬,可惜實際表現又並非相等如該薪津水平,但為了要留人,無其他辦法也!朋友更慨嘆,要炒人更非易事,因為賠償支出不菲,真的以為將日本終身僱用制移植了過來。

(8月20日刊於《am730》)

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