Wednesday, April 25, 2007

財經演員撈過界

區議會選舉將於11月舉行,各大政黨當然會發力拉票。禤中怡對政治無乜興趣。但最近有個親中政黨,為討好選民的歡心,竟然請班財經演員做講座嘉賓。財經演員同政黨搞講座,看似是一盤「雙贏」(win-win)的交易,但查實是一項風險好高的交易。

對政黨來說,搵財經演員做講座,當然有收視保證,之後順便幫觀眾登記做選民,掌握選民的個人資料,才可以繼續sell自己的政治理念出去。而財經演員同政界關係好,日後有任何風吹草動,至少還搵到人出聲,況且他們要周圍去sell窩輪,政黨吸納闊太客又好在行,簡直是天賜搵銀良機。

不過,財經演員在投資講座講的如果有winning tip(必贏貼士),個政黨自然發達,今年區議會選舉的票豈不盡收自己手中。問題是,如果那些是砒霜貼士,不單只那班股民荷包好傷,政黨分分鐘流失票源。天下間有那麼多無風險的拉票方法,何苦用班財經演員來博?

對班財經演員來講,除非他們個個黨搞的講座都去,否則日後議會討論到一些同規管財經演員有關的法例時,輕則對家報仇咁報,提出相當辣的規管條文,重則在內裡搵黑材料,然後攻擊自己的政敵,殃及財經演員,你話班財經演員,邊有可能要冒這種政治風險,這點禤中怡怎也想不明。所以禤中怡知道有政黨夥財經演員搞投資講座後,只能夠祝他們好運。

二三線股又接力
外圍表現麻麻,港股也好不到那裏,開市又跌160點,低見20,396點,怎知中國移動(941)造好,升0.75%,重越73元,收市見73.35元外,超人兩隻重磅股亦輪流上陣,長實(001)升1元見102.7元,和黃(013)則收市報76.3元,升0.4元,令恒指收市又跌唔落,反而升16點,見20,572點。至於中國人壽(2628)前日停牌後,昨日復牌自然追落後,股價單日升近1%,收市報25.3元,令國企股指數未受內地股市回落影響,再升5點至10,239點。

大市波動幅度不算大,昨日高低位僅222點,幅度不足1%,反映牛皮缺方向,皆因挑戰高位不易,要大幅調整又沒有藉口,難怪資金又轉炒二三線股,如雲南實業(455)股價從0.56元,單日曾急升87.5%至1.05元,尾市略收窄至0.89元,全日仍升59%,成交額逾3,800萬元,成交股數更由平常逾百萬股,大增至4,425萬股。以該股總發行股市約5.06億股,主要股東已持約3.1億股計,即「街貨」不足兩億股,即成交股數已相等流通股的22.3%,認真厲害!再看看該股中期營業額才708萬元,蝕948萬元,業績未見突出,但股東包括紅塔煙草這個具實力的企業,莫非有春江鴨見到業務將有突破?

至於隻中國水務(855)吃環保水,昨日輕易再升3%,見4.38元,成交股數又增至逾1,616萬股。原來該股進軍江西,斥逾1億元購江西水務89%權益,該項目有4個供水及污水處理項目,難怪有人偷步!

不過,業績對辦也不代表受追捧,像永恩國際(210)剛公布盈利升15%,唯一美中不是足的是全年股息總額下跌10%,但股價卻拾級而下,並貼近最低位收市,報6.74元,跌27.9%,成交股數由少於1,000萬股,大幅增加至6,871萬股之多,基金洗倉之心相當堅定,連息都放棄收取,大手成交股數佔交投量近半,令成交額見4.9億元,以中小型股來說已相當「熱鬧」。

(4月25日刊於《am730》)

9 Comments:

At 7:41 PM, Blogger s tsui said...

不要忘記,the audience that pays attention to these 財經演員通常都非常健忘,要不然也不會繼續pay attention啦。要是真的不幸,財經演員的貼士證實是山埃,優秀的演員都有無數種方法可以解圍,你不用替他們擔心啦!

 
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