Sunday, August 13, 2006

3號風球引發的風波

風球一個接一個,派比安走了,又來了一個寶霞,從近期網上氣象迷的討論區對天文台預測風暴能力表現之批評,以至後來傳媒大肆跟進報道的種種跡象,明顯地民眾帶領傳媒以至推動政府的連鎖關係已見成形。從政治學而言,民眾在事件上的發言權與受注視程度,明顯高於天文台(即政府)。禤中怡冷眼旁觀,看出了兩個事實。第一,是網絡影響社會的闊度與深度,已超越一向以客觀事實報道為原則的電視及電台新聞媒體,這是由於網上人只要敢講,便能夠引發社會思考問題。

第二是政府公信力不濟,從報章輿論一面倒批評天文台來說,已看出傳媒已站在氣象迷討論區的一方。而天文台由頭到尾只有台長一人迎戰,政府公關策略之不足由此可見。

最近由颱風派比安引發的8號風球爭議中,就可以顯示公民社會監察政府的作用,其實天文台發出8號風球的尺度及適切性問題,甚至應否引進分區風暴警告制度,一直是氣象迷的議論話題。在前天文台科學主任方文剛辦的香港地下天文台討論區(http://weatherblogger.mysinablog.com/index.php?op=ViewArticle&articleId=224496)中,每一次風暴襲港,氣象迷除根據各方數據自行對風暴走勢作預測及評估天文台預報水平,亦會以不同地區天文台氣象站、他們自己建設的自動氣象站及學術機構的氣象觀測數據,去評論天文台發出風暴警告訊號的合理性,令香港地下天文台及一眾氣象迷在網民心中取得公信力。

因此方文剛以至其他氣象迷之能夠在派比安事件中,那麼快準備大批數據,直指天文台的決策有問題,甚至能指出天文台向公眾提供錯誤資料。因為每一次風暴來港,他們都在留意天文台的表現,而香港天文台發出颱風警告訊號尺度和準則出現問題,並非第一次,不過以往只在氣象迷圈子才有比較深入的討論,這就是公民社會的監察力量。香港氣象迷的學術水平和專業水平相當高,不過有這樣的公民社會又是否代表政府會回應公眾期望?很明顯不是,如天文台有官員每天看地下天文台的討論,應該知道他們在發出風暴警告的準則有改進空間,惟天文台好像沒有真的認真就這個問題諮詢公眾。而派比安事件後,天文台台長的回應,大家都看到就算民怨沸騰,在現有制度下,公民社會不能夠迫使政府回應公眾期望。

銀行預測大量熱錢來港?

港息見頂是市場預期,不過中銀香港(2388)突減息0.25厘,一記回馬槍殺市場與其他同業一個措手不及,滙豐總經理梁高美懿前日剛說過:「減息言之過早。」,到當日傍晚已被中銀推翻。雖然息口見頂,但中銀減息,除競爭激烈,可能亦預測大量熱錢將來港而做定準備。現時銀行競爭激烈程度可算是出神入化,東亞(023)日前宣布為自動轉帳支薪新客戶提供優惠計劃。客戶首次成功透過該行帳戶作自動轉帳支薪後,即獲贈100元現金獎賞。自動轉帳支薪的客戶由於一定有資金流入,故成為搶奪對象也不出奇,搶客已達致每一個角落。

減息周期是快是慢暫時尚未可料,但顯然市場反應已在預料中。短期的經濟表現趨向正面,禤中怡不是神仙也沒有神仙棒,但股市春江鴨多的是,投資者務必留神!

(8月11日刊於《am730》)

9 Comments:

At 8:42 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

longchamp handbags, michael kors outlet, prada outlet, burberry outlet, prada handbags, oakley sunglasses cheap, jordan shoes, tory burch outlet, nike shoes, michael kors outlet, gucci outlet, louboutin outlet, longchamp outlet, kate spade handbags, air max, nike free, coach outlet store online, ray ban sunglasses, louboutin, kate spade outlet, michael kors outlet, true religion jeans, tiffany and co, coach purses, louis vuitton, tiffany and co, oakley sunglasses, louboutin, ray ban sunglasses, louis vuitton outlet stores, burberry outlet, michael kors outlet, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors outlet, coach outlet, louis vuitton handbags, longchamp handbags, polo ralph lauren outlet, chanel handbags, michael kors outlet, christian louboutin shoes, oakley sunglasses, true religion jeans, louis vuitton outlet, coach factory outlet, air max, polo ralph lauren outlet

 
At 8:46 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

nike air max, sac louis vuitton, true religion outlet, abercrombie and fitch, sac louis vuitton, hollister, north face, nike free pas cher, sac longchamp, ray ban pas cher, air max, ray ban sunglasses, vanessa bruno, louis vuitton uk, mulberry, lululemon, sac guess, converse pas cher, michael kors, true religion outlet, michael kors, oakley pas cher, nike roshe run, polo lacoste, ralph lauren, sac burberry, nike free, michael kors pas cher, nike roshe, air max pas cher, louis vuitton, louboutin, nike tn, hogan outlet, air force, nike trainers, air jordan, longchamp, air max, polo ralph lauren, barbour, north face, hollister, timberland, nike blazer, sac hermes, vans pas cher, new balance pas cher

 
At 8:58 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

ugg australia, canada goose jackets, soccer shoes, ferragamo shoes, celine handbags, canada goose outlet, uggs outlet, mcm handbags, lululemon outlet, p90x, wedding dresses, canada goose, marc jacobs, asics running shoes, birkin bag, instyler, soccer jerseys, giuseppe zanotti, jimmy choo outlet, rolex watches, new balance shoes, ghd, chi flat iron, nike roshe run, north face jackets, mont blanc, mac cosmetics, babyliss pro, reebok outlet, ugg boots, ugg boots, insanity workout, hollister, vans shoes, beats by dre, ugg, bottega veneta, north face outlet, valentino shoes, ugg pas cher, nfl jerseys, herve leger, canada goose, canada goose, longchamp, canada goose uk, nike huarache, abercrombie and fitch

 
At 8:59 AM, Blogger oakleyses said...

louboutin, moncler, montre homme, hollister clothing store, lancel, moncler, moncler, karen millen, vans, louis vuitton, parajumpers, moncler, juicy couture outlet, links of london, converse, air max, swarovski, supra shoes, thomas sabo, ray ban, pandora jewelry, converse shoes, oakley, canada goose, toms shoes, gucci, juicy couture outlet, pandora charms, pandora charms, swarovski crystal, moncler, rolex watches, coach outlet store online, wedding dresses, iphone 6 cases, moncler outlet, canada goose, moncler, air max, ralph lauren, baseball bats, ugg, timberland boots, hollister, hollister, ugg

 
At 2:34 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

ninest123 10.07
michael kors outlet online, polo ralph lauren outlet online, michael kors outlet online, michael kors outlet store, christian louboutin shoes, oakley sunglasses, burberry handbags, louis vuitton outlet, burberry outlet, oakley sunglasses wholesale, christian louboutin outlet, longchamp outlet, nike air max, prada outlet, louis vuitton, michael kors outlet, replica watches, tiffany jewelry, oakley sunglasses, louis vuitton outlet, nike air max, nike outlet, uggs outlet, polo outlet, nike free, ugg boots, ray ban sunglasses, oakley sunglasses, louis vuitton outlet, michael kors outlet online, replica watches, ugg boots, uggs outlet, uggs on sale, louis vuitton, tiffany and co, christian louboutin, jordan shoes, christian louboutin uk, kate spade outlet, tory burch outlet, michael kors outlet, chanel handbags, longchamp outlet, prada handbags, longchamp outlet, ray ban sunglasses, ray ban sunglasses

 
At 2:41 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

nike air max uk, longchamp pas cher, hollister pas cher, abercrombie and fitch uk, michael kors, kate spade, nike blazer pas cher, nike air force, converse pas cher, polo lacoste, nike free uk, coach purses, nike tn, nike roshe, hogan outlet, north face uk, coach outlet store online, new balance, burberry pas cher, timberland pas cher, true religion outlet, louboutin pas cher, jordan pas cher, sac longchamp pas cher, mulberry uk, hollister uk, ray ban uk, vans pas cher, nike air max, lululemon canada, ray ban pas cher, guess pas cher, sac vanessa bruno, oakley pas cher, michael kors, sac hermes, coach outlet, nike roshe run uk, polo ralph lauren, ralph lauren uk, true religion jeans, coach outlet, nike air max uk, true religion outlet, michael kors outlet, nike free run, air max, north face, true religion outlet, michael kors pas cher

 
At 2:44 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

hollister, soccer shoes, insanity workout, vans outlet, mcm handbags, instyler, hollister clothing, babyliss, beats by dre, ghd hair, celine handbags, north face outlet, nike roshe run, longchamp uk, asics running shoes, hollister, nike huaraches, vans, new balance shoes, oakley, gucci, baseball bats, soccer jerseys, ralph lauren, wedding dresses, converse outlet, valentino shoes, nike trainers uk, herve leger, nike air max, ray ban, chi flat iron, bottega veneta, giuseppe zanotti outlet, nike air max, mont blanc pens, converse, hermes belt, timberland boots, abercrombie and fitch, reebok outlet, p90x workout, ferragamo shoes, iphone 6 cases, louboutin, lululemon, north face outlet, nfl jerseys, jimmy choo outlet, mac cosmetics, gucci handbags, cheap oakley sunglasses

 
At 2:46 PM, Blogger ninest123 Ninest said...

toms shoes, juicy couture outlet, canada goose, moncler outlet, moncler uk, louis vuitton, canada goose jackets, canada goose outlet, swarovski, michael kors handbags, ugg, louis vuitton, louis vuitton, moncler, ugg pas cher, moncler, canada goose outlet, lancel, karen millen uk, barbour, juicy couture outlet, pandora charms, canada goose, barbour uk, doudoune moncler, ugg,ugg australia,ugg italia, moncler, swarovski crystal, montre pas cher, canada goose outlet, louis vuitton, michael kors outlet, replica watches, canada goose uk, hollister, ugg uk, links of london, supra shoes, moncler outlet, doke gabbana, pandora jewelry, louis vuitton, moncler, pandora jewelry, marc jacobs, ugg,uggs,uggs canada, canada goose, thomas sabo, michael kors outlet online, pandora uk, wedding dresses, coach outlet
ninest123 10.07

 
At 12:24 PM, Blogger mmjiaxin said...

nike air huarache
moncler jackets
black friday 2015
ugg boots sale
north face jackets
true religion outlet
winter jackets
tiffany and co
ralph lauren polo
links of london jewellery
michael kors handbags
nfl jersey wholesale
michael kors handbags wholesale
instyler ionic styler
michael kors outlet online
michael kors uk
pandora outlet
michael kors outlet online
salomon shoes
hermes belt for sale
mm1128

 

Post a Comment

<< Home