Wednesday, August 18, 2010

長實跑贏兩次馬拉松拍賣

究竟是拍賣官想創紀錄,還是想挑戰自己的耐力,昨日拍賣第二幅紅磡灣地皮時,叫價至22.2億元,即市場估計的下限水平時,便將每口叫價從3,000萬元大削至1,000萬元,即每口叫價由相等於22.2億元的1.3%水平,下降至僅0.45%,令人商榷的是,市場最樂觀的估價為29億元,是否需要這麼快便降低每口叫價,而叫價水平又是否過低呢?

面對這種場面,試問發展商見到每口叫價差額那麼低,怎不慢慢承價,之後就展開馬拉松式的承價,況且又有影子手輪流舉牌,不怕舉手舉到痠軟,而拍賣官則認真忙碌,最終從3時15分開始,直至4時半才拍賣完成,足足是75分鐘,連同第一幅的亞皆老街地皮,共花了兩小時!

由於拍賣官這種蝸牛式的策略,令紅磡灣地皮合共有145次出價,對比於04年10月賣出的何文田天光道地皮合共有221口叫價,歷時長達1小時55分鐘比較,雖仍有距離,但無獨有偶,這兩幅長氣拍賣地皮也是由長江實業(001)所包辦,當然要成功奪得心頭好,也要迎接其他大發展商互相搶攻之慘烈戰鬥,多少反映市區地皮有價。

見到發展商投地進取,地產股午後隨即擺脫上午的牛皮表現,展開反彈之旅,長實股價直至昨午3時還企在100元以下,直至紅磡灣地叫價踴躍,該股迅即重入「紅底股」行列,氣勢如虹,最高見101.5元,收市仍漲1%至100.4元。

周一跌到殘的信和置業(083)雖在賣地中落敗,股價仍回升3.6%至13.76元,收復不少失地。新鴻基地產(016)股價亦升0.4%至110.5元收市。住宅樓市難免又再火上加油,特別是市區樓價恐又瘋狂,故政府在年內再推出壓抑樓市第三波也不出奇,且看發展商如何拆招。

另一方面,商業樓就不受政府打壓,特別是中區的樓價肯定仍高企,畢竟近年供應少,競爭不會太激烈,除了要等新填海區的供應外,較大型的可能只有待麗新發展(488)重建麗嘉酒店舊址項目。至於樂聲電子(213)所組財團重建的干諾道中50至59號項目亦正興建,而該盤前身即為鱷魚恤大廈也,以往也是麗展持有的項目。

未知是否市場有價,原來該項目旁邊,即47號的南源商業大廈已準備拆卸重建,令中環舊廈又少一幢了。聽聞該廈曾獲旁邊的樂聲電子財團洽合併發展,最終仍是分道揚鑣。該大廈最令人注目的,當然是從國際金融中心第一期,經行人天橋走往恒生銀行總行大廈時,望到位處單邊的輝立證券門市了。這個曾經是報紙攝記最喜歡取景的地點之一,因門口擺設股票機,吸引投資者捧場查股價,多少帶來宣傳作用。

由於該大廈計劃於10月起重建,輝立舊店亦只會服務至本月底便光榮結束,新分店將會遷往德輔道中的遠東發展大廈23樓,可惜沒有地舖那麼搶眼了。

(於8月18日刊於《am730》)

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