Wednesday, May 27, 2009

提防燒焦

政府又推第二輪紓困措施,對一般市民而言,包括將差餉多減兩季,以及將薪俸稅寬減,由稅款一半的上限6,000元增至全數稅款上限的8,000元,實在似一份優化版的紓困計劃,多過針對性刺激經濟和促進就業措施,難得財爺話寬減薪俸稅,是「為有需要人士,特別是那些受失業、減薪等影響的中產人士提供適時紓緩」,真的要多謝感恩。

簡單而言,若要交8,000元稅,在原來紓困措施下,應繳稅為4,000元,而在優化版下,8,000元稅款便完全寬免,即少交的稅款便大增五成,但如交2萬元稅的話,優化版交12,000元,只比原來措施的14,000元少交2,000元而已,對中產人士的「幫助」認真大!

需注意的是,最終應繳稅款還包括暫繳稅項,以便為未來一個財政年度的收入作預先計算,而這個金額分分鐘並非細數,有錢落袋恐成空夢,能夠少交稅項已經萬幸了。禤中怡便是最佳例子,雖然並非搵得多,但稅項寬免後,連同暫繳稅,實際依然要交稅,實屬小恩小惠,況且更不會花時間,同稅務局就暫繳稅糾纏,所以依然要預留資金,供日後交稅所需,不要亂花費而先使未來錢。

投資者反而專注金魚缸搵食好過,不要以為恒指跌130點,又穿17,000點就無得炒,早前已經講過,大市炒落後加消息股,而近兩周便表現氣勢如虹,好像紅簿仔利息進一步被推低,象徵意義大於實質意義,加上今日大行報告威力驚人,竟然齊齊唱好樓市,多少向樓市火上加油,難怪藍籌地產股先造上,二三線地產股隨後發力,嘉華國際(173)昨日能夠急彈23.7%至2.19元,兼且有成交配合,金額逾2.1億元,若與4月底收市1.22元計,本月累計升幅高達79.5%,確實不得了。

向市場抽水的股份更加無有怕,如聯康生物科技(690)早前話每6股供1股,兼送兩股紅股,每股供股價0.1元,參與供股的話,即合共獲得3股,變相每股成本約0.033元。股價昨日就發力,大力抽上27.6%至0.097元,成交股數多達逾23.74億股,成交額超過2.1億元,場面認真轟動,兼且回報非同小可。

由於資金從藍籌股開始造上,然後換碼炒到其他二三線股,甚至不見經傳的仙股,傳統趨勢是大戶資金已經不斷將燃燒中的火棒,陸續交到其他小投資者手中,股份股價要再向上,就真的要用更大的力氣。不過,今次炒落後加消息的威力就如久旱逢甘露般,所以要即時冷卻,實在不易,禤中怡只想警告,火棒在手中可以留多久,無人能測,如果已經有盈利的,可以不斷推高離場的價位,如1元買入,止蝕位在0.8元,如股價升至1.5元,離場位可上調至1.2元,一旦回落,可先收割回報,相信蝕本機會不大,但不懂得離場的話,隨時成為大鱷點心,因為這場「烈火」已燒得十分壯旺,提防燒焦。

(5月27日刊於《am730》)

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