Wednesday, May 24, 2006

汽車成hacker新目標

香港人一聽到hacker(黑客)這個名詞,就只會想到那些入侵大企業或國防部系統的電腦神童。其實hacker在西方,很多時指那些喜歡自行攻破電子器材某些限制,再加以改善之輩。雖然他們有時搞的改善,令到不少公司極為苦惱。不過,近日有一種hacker真係前所未聞,見所未見,那就叫汽車hacker,專門拿自己的愛車被他人去hack(即更改汽車的電腦系統而增強功能)。當然,並非香港一般的車都適合hacker去挑戰,目前最受hacker「歡迎」的車款,是豐田的油電混合環保車Prius。

豐田研究出Prius這種油電混合車,對環保確是一大貢獻。不過,豐田都不是「食齋」的,豐田針對美國市場的Prius參數,為迎合美國人的口味,並不像歐洲版或日本版般慳油。如果在香港,就會有車行入水貨車,以現成水貨去解決眼前的問題。

但美國人一向都愛Do It Yourself,有人居然研究到,只要調校Prius的一些電腦參數,就可以不用買水貨車,都有歐洲版或日本版的設定,皆因Prius是一款很依賴電腦控制的車,令Prius的可調控能力比別的車來得強,之後越找越多這類秘技,最後甚至有人開公司,專門幫車主去hack車,認真不可思議。

其實hack車之風遲早吹來香港,試想一下,PSP來到香港都是被人hack了firmware,令很大批人玩到錄在memory stick上的翻版遊戲。如果愛車能夠更快更順,車房提供hack車這種高增值服務,隨時因此大受車主歡迎,財源滾滾來。日後隨著汽車技術越來越高科技,類似Prius這類可以被hack的車只會越來越多,屆時車房不愁無生意可做了。

近期選股要小心

在越來越多散戶參與後,現時股市已變得風高浪急。周一恒指大跌507點,為911後最大跌幅。國企跌幅更厲害,達到5%。連李嘉誠亦叫大家量力而為,可見現時的投資環境已越來越波動。恒指方面,短期仍然會在15,500至15,800點整固。雖然國企期指昨日反彈0.71%,但看來再下滑的機會不低。這是否代表大市已玩完呢? 其實亦不一定,但這是典型不少散戶進場後的特色。因為一般散戶見高追,見低沽,股價的波動便自然更大。大市在中國銀行(3398)上市後的表現應會更佳,以迎接水尾的工商銀行,但當然需要密切注意伊朗的風險。

在這個時期,選股方面更需要小心。新股固然不是必賺,已上市的公司亦要再作評估。David Webb在其網站談及中國蜂業(8156),他指出買入這間蜂蜜產品生產商的回報比「買入六合彩更差」。禢中怡當然同意這個結論,但原因則留待大家自己看看他的文章。另一間博彩股華彩(8161),股價大跌一半,其實亦不奇怪。

大家可能認為回購是利好訊號。這可能是正確,亦可能是不正確,因為這需要視乎公司本身的質素,以及回購的價錢。舉個例,宏利(945)仍在不斷回購,由於公司的價值仍然吸引,所以回購可以提高本身價值。不過,我不明白的是華彩的回購行動。華彩在本月22日回購了1,610萬股股份,作價由0.87元至1.02元。由5月頭至22日,合共由0.87元至1.63元回購了2,582萬股。看看公司在2月時以2.475元至2.95元回購了817萬股,便可明白股價不一定因回購而上升。這亦令人質疑為何公司在1月時以每股3.675元批出1.8億股,但現時反而在回購股份,不知當初購入股份的投資者有何想法。

另一件有趣的事是關於俊和(711)。當日大股東建議全購俊和,原來不止我,連其獨立財務顧問卓怡融資亦認為其出手太低,雖然出價已由0.74元調高至0.84元。俊和主要從事土木工程,但在清水灣道8號住宅項目所得到的利潤應不少。現時已售出268個單位,餘下應用作收租。單是這個項目的利潤也超過2億元,差不多是市值的三分一。即使建築業在香港一般不值太高市盈率,長線股東亦應找尋更佳機會變現利潤。

經過一段時間後,瑞安(983)終於安排瑞安房地產上市。在現時的市況上市,反應可能不會十分理想,而且上海的樓市仍然在整固。不過,主席羅康瑞證實滙控(005)將會投資瑞安房地產總值1億美元股份,相信滙控亦會長線持有。不清楚滙控會否替瑞安房地產上市呢? 作為保薦人,滙控最近的成績則不大理想。除了利和(2387)的表現較理想外,其他則可以用令人失望來形容。瑞安房地產在日後的定位亦需要交待清楚,尤其是瑞安集團持有的物業究竟日後與瑞安建業以及瑞安房地產會否有利益衝突。

(24-05-06 刊於《am730》)

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