Wednesday, January 18, 2012

賓架都靠祖國吊命

美國信貸評級機構標準普爾向歐洲放箭,一下子射下9國評級,市場卻認為屬預期之內,威力盡減;中國去年第四季度經濟增長僅8.9%,令全年增長9.2%,增速放慢,大家又指是意料之內,甚至認為勝預期,究竟之前的預測是否太悲觀?

溫總要提振股市,央企紛增持上市子公司股份,又傳中國人民銀行減存款準備金率,昨日更傳逾千億元人民幣的養老金將入市支持,股市立即炒上。

港股昨日率先跟隨內地股市造好,恒指一口氣衝破19,600點,單日漲615點,特別是現貨月期指於現貨收市後仍向上,高水59點,報19,686點收市。重磅藍籌中,連積弱多時的滙豐控股(005)也升3.2%,而中國人壽(2628)更大漲7%。

同專做企業融資的投資賓架朋友談起,他亦慶幸全靠祖國,有「點心債」這種人民幣債券在港發行支持,才有生意吊命,因為上市公司股價回落,可換股債券(CB)市場可謂一池死水,特別是去年下半年更是十分淡靜。

不過,歐美境況他則大感憂心,早前仍要往該兩個地區做Marketing的工作,已經發覺氣氛差,畢竟歐美水頭仍緊,即使向當地客戶大賣甚麼,他們也無心聆聽,大家都好像是為了「交足戲」而已。

朋友話,看似很輕鬆,其實頗頻撲,如在英國倫敦留兩至三日便飛往美國波士頓,翌日又要往來紐約和新澤西開會,之後便乘機回港了,連時差也無法適應過來。

除了時間短促外,同行的同事數目亦由以前4至5人,一減便只剩下最多兩個人,可見工作量相應增加,而這個不能不執行的任務,純粹為了避免明年連這個出差預算項目也被刪除,唯一好彩的是,他仍能保留乘坐商務客位的待遇。

話雖如此,賓架朋友回港後享受了兩個星期的Core Leave,禤中怡自然羨慕,但朋友呻,這種假期其實是「焗放」,所謂Core Leave,就是投行要求員工將手頭工作完全放手,表面上是安心放假,其實是讓員工任何違規或違法交易也無法再隱藏而原形畢露。

他更話,即使有假放也不會開心,因為多間投行又開始大刀闊斧裁員,美銀美林、大摩和蘇皇均榜上有名,未知下一輪會否輪到他。若果本月ECM(股票資本市場)依舊一潭死水的話,相信要有心理準備再捱寒冬。

農曆新年將至,禤中怡只能祝他「保住份工」了。亦趁此祝各位讀者身體健康,工作愉快。

(1月18日刊於《am730》)

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