近排同科技股有關消息,比較震撼的除微軟出MP3機同蘋果電腦Steve Jobs撼過外,莫過於傳出處理器生產商AMD決定收購圖形顯示晶片生產商ATi將近成事的消息。如果這個消息屬實,看來Intel又多添一樣麻煩。ATi同Nvidia兩間公司都是生產圖形顯示晶片的公司,而對好多青年用家來說,圖形顯示晶片在電腦內的重要程度同中央處理器差不多,因為如果張顯示卡「效果不夠靚」,打機就難流暢,變得很無癮。可知道一張普普通通的顯示器卡,可讓打機更流暢的,在電腦商場至少要五六百蚊一張,有些質素較靚的顯示卡則要成幾千蚊張,夠砌一部電腦。
由於電腦遊戲市場係兵家必爭之地,所以AMD同Intel都重視這方面發展,Intel本身有圖形晶片部門,不過可惜Intel推出的晶片,只能以「弱到唔恨」去形容。而AMD更慘,在這方面無甚作為。而AMD下一代CPU,有種好特別的技術叫Torrenza,提供一條特殊通道,讓其他零件輔助CPU,例如圖形晶片,同CPU通訊的速度特別快,提升電腦整體速度同流暢度。大家試想像,AMD有這種技術,加上ATi公司的圖形晶片,在行內屬「老大哥級」,屆時用AMD的電腦打機豈不更爽?當好多年青人買AMD機回家打機,Intel怎會不感到煩惱。所以市場正關注AMD收購ATi,究竟會係Intel用銀紙同AMD爭ATi,抑或是Intel同ATi的死對頭Nvidia傾合併,甚至是Intel再投資大筆資金去改進本身的圖形晶片,再同AMD一決高下。不過可以肯定的是,AMD最近攻勢一浪接一浪,較早前在伺服器市場攻城掠地,現時又在遊戲用電腦市場收購ATi威脅Intel霸主地位,似乎未來幾年,Intel的日子都不好過。
科技股跨行業競爭愈來愈激烈
環球市場上半年對科技產品需求持續暢旺,但不代表每間公司亦能受惠。目前競爭模式已由同業競爭,轉為跨行業競爭,其中大型國際品牌的手機商與電腦商,更是你一拳我一腳,打得你死我活。摩托羅拉與諾基亞,受惠中國與印度的龐大需求,第二季純利分別急升47%至13.5億美元(約105億港元)與急升43%至11.4億歐元(約112億港元)。相反,傳統電腦股如戴爾等,竟然發出盈警;國際商業機器(IBM)第二季多賺11%至20.2億美元(約157億港元),只符合預期,管理層更指純利增加原因是基於過去一年裁減1.45萬個歐洲地區職位,把工序遷往成本較低的印度,反映成功主要靠削減成本,並不是透過自然增長,可謂生意難做。
手機股能大賺,除了成功開拓新興市場如中國、印度等,更重要是智能手機(smartphone)(掌上電腦與電話集於一身)愈來愈受市場歡迎,兩選一的話,年輕人多數選用智能手機,取代手提電腦,並蠶食傳統電腦股的利潤。加上,一般人更換電腦的傳統壽命至少一年,不像智能手機款式經常更新,可能每半年會更換一次,電腦製造商已被跨行業的手機製造商打得焦頭爛額。當然,科技真日新月異,蘋果電腦已暗示,他們將於明年上半年推出手提電話iPhone,由電腦專家推出的智能手機,相信較手機商推出的更為優勝,料科技跨行業戰爭(手機vs電腦)開始愈來愈激烈。
(7月24日刊於《am730》)
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